[1]邵砾群,陈海滨,刘军弟,等. 基于灰色理论的陕西省林业产业结构分析预测[J].西北林学院学报,2012,27(05):289-292.
　SHAO Li-qun,CHEN Hai-bin,LIU Jun-di,et al. Grey Analysis Prediction on Forestry Industrial Structure in Shaanxi[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2012,27(05):289-292.
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 基于灰色理论的陕西省林业产业结构分析预测()
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《西北林学院学报》[ISSN:1001-7461/CN:61-1202/S]

卷:
第27卷
期数:
2012年05期
页码:
289-292
栏目:
出版日期:
2012-09-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
 Grey Analysis Prediction on Forestry Industrial Structure in Shaanxi
文章编号:
1001-7461(2012)05-0289-04
作者:
 邵砾群; 陈海滨; 刘军弟; 霍学喜
 （西北农林科技大学 经管学院，陕西 杨陵 712100）
Author(s):
 SHAO Li-qun; CHEN Hai-bin;  LIU Jun-di;  HUO Xue-xi
 (College of Economics and Management, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100 China)
关键词:
 ; 林业产业; 灰色关联度; GM（1; 1）模型; 陕西省
Keywords:
 ; forestry industry;  grey correlation;  GM(1; 1) model;  Shaanxi Province
分类号:
F316.2
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
 应用灰色关联度分析方法研究1998-2010年陕西省林业产业结构与变化规律，建立GM（1,1）预测模型。结果表明：1998-2010年陕西省林业3次产业与林业总产业的灰色关联度分别为0.975 9,0.887 3,0.744 9。 产值的排序为第一产业>第二产业>第三产业；在未来10 a，由于居民生活水平的不断提高，将进一步带动以森林旅游和林业服务为主的林业第三产业高速发展，促进林业产业结构不断趋于合理完善。形成第三产业超过第一、第二产业占主导地位，且第一、第二产业齐头并进的发展新格局。

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