[1]吴恒,朱丽艳,王海亮,等. 基于多源数据的木材价格表编制方法研究[J].西北林学院学报,2020,35(1):261-267.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2020.01.40]
 WU Heng,ZHU Li-yan,WANG Hai-liang,et al. Method of the Establishment of Wood Price Table Based on Multi-source Data[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2020,35(1):261-267.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2020.01.40]
点击复制

 基于多源数据的木材价格表编制方法研究()
分享到:

《西北林学院学报》[ISSN:1001-7461/CN:61-1202/S]

卷:
第35卷
期数:
2020年第1期
页码:
261-267
栏目:
出版日期:
2020-01-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
 Method of the Establishment of Wood Price Table Based on Multi-source Data
文章编号:
1001-7461(2020)01-0261-07
作者:
 吴恒12朱丽艳2王海亮2郭小阳3刘智军2张锋4
 (1.西南林业大学,云南 昆明 650224;2.国家林业和草原局 昆明勘察设计院,云南 昆明 650216;3.陕西省延安市林业局,陕西 延安 716000;4.西安市鄠邑区林业局,陕西 西安 710300)
Author(s):
 WU Heng12ZHU Li-yan2WANG Hai-liang2GUO Xiao-yang3LIU Zhi-jun2ZHANG Feng4
 (1.Southwest Forestry University,Kunming 650224,Yunnan,China; 2.Kunming Survey & Design Institute of National Forestry and Grassland Administration,Kunming 650216,Yunnan,China; 3.Yan’an Forestry Bureau,Yan’an 716000,Shaanxi,China; 4.Huyi Forestry Bureau,Xi’an 710300,Shaanxi,China)
关键词:
 木材价格因素分析价格表调整系数
Keywords:
 wood price factor analysis price table adjustment coefficient
分类号:
S757.4
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2020.01.40
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
 木材价格的研究对指导林业生产经营活动具有重要意义。采用样本数据建立木材产量、销售量和平均价格GM(1,1)模型,采用单因素方差分析比较不同省份和年份木材价格差异性,采用聚类分析对省份进行木材价格一致性分类,基于影响因子建立木材价格广义线性回归模型,采用相对等级法编制了木材价格表。结果表明,建立的全国各省份木材产量和销售量GM(1,1)模型可用于各省份木材供需情况分析;不同省份和不同年份间木材平均价格存在极显著性差异(P<0.01);建立的木材平均价格GM(1,1)模型和广义线性模型模型拟合优度均>0.90,可用于木材平均价格预测;木材平均价格与森林蓄积量、GDP、人口总数和城镇化率的Pearson相关系数>0.90;采用相对等级法编制的木材价格表可用于指导林业生产经营活动。
Abstract:
 Researches of lumber price are of significant importance for the guidance of forestry production and management activity.GM(1,1) models of wood production,sales and the average price were established in this study based on yearbook data.One way ANOVA was applied in comparing differences between provinces and years.Consistency of wood price of different provinces was analyzed by cluster analysis method.Generalized linear regression model was established for wood price based on factors affecting the price.Relative ranking method was applied for price list compiling.The results showed that GM(1,1) model could be used to analyze the supply and demand of the woods in different provinces.There were significant differences in average wood prices between provinces and years (P<0.01).Goodness of fitting of GM(1,1) model and the generalized linear model were both higher than 0.90,indicating that they could be used to predict the average wood price.Pearson correlation coefficients between average wood price and forest stock,GDP,population and urbanization rate were greater than 0.90.The wood price list compiled by the relative grade method could be used to guide the forestry production and management activities.

相似文献/References:

[1]李亚藏,梁彦兰,王庆成. 铅对山梨和山荆子光合作用和叶绿素荧光特性的影响[J].西北林学院学报,2012,27(05):21.
 LI Ya-cang,LIANG Yan-lan,WANG Qing-cheng. Influence of Pb on Photosynthesis and Chlorophyll Fluorescence Characteristics in Pyrus ussuriensis and Malus baccata [J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2012,27(1):21.
[2]张小咏,李佳,杨艳昭,等. 基于SWAT模型的长江源区径流模拟[J].西北林学院学报,2012,27(05):38.
 ZHANG Xiao-yong,LI Jia,YANG Yan-zhao,et al. Runoff Simulation of the Catchment of the Headwaters of the Yangtze River Based on SWAT Model[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2012,27(1):38.
[3]杨红旗,陈广辉,王金林. PVAc改性酚醛树脂制备铝木复合材料研究[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):170.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.34]
 YANG Hong-qi,CHEN Guang-hui,WANG Jin-lin. PF Adhesive Modified by PVAc for Manufacturing Technology of Decorative Fiberboard with Aluminum Foils[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):170.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.34]
[4]江涛,李秀荣,谢延军,等. 微波预处理对巨尾桉木材渗透性的影响[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):174.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.35]
 JIANG Tao,LI Xiu-rong,XIE Yan-jun,et al. Effects of Microwave Pretreatment on the Permeability of Eucalyptus grandis×Eucalyptus urophylla[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):174.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.35]
[5]牛晓霆,王逢瑚,曹新民. 明清家具匠师原木下料的工艺原则及措施[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):178.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.36]
 NIU Xiao-ting,WANG Feng-hu,CAO Xin-min. Techniques and Principles of Log Cuttings of Furniture Makers in Ming and Qing Dynasties[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):178.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.36]
[6]吕金阳,覃卓凯,舒辉,等. 银杉木材构造美学价值[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):183.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.37]
 LV Jin-yang,QIN Zhuo-kai,SHU Hui,et al. Esthetical Values in Wood Structure of Cathaya argyrophylla[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):183.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.37]
[7]杨艳红,张海敏,孙景荣. 基于传统文化视角的现代家具设计探析[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):188.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.38]
 YANG Yan-hong,ZHANG Hai-min,SUN Jing-rong. Study of Modern Furniture Design Based on Traditional Culture[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):188.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.38]
[8]黄圣游,叶喜. 新中式家具“中式”传统的界定[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):192.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.39]
 HUANG Sheng-You,YE Xi. Definition of Traditional Element in New Chinese Style Furniture[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):192.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.39]
[9]韩维生,赵明磊,王宏斌. 基于阈限理论的设计尺度体系[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):197.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.40]
 HAN Wei-sheng,ZHAO Ming-lei,WANG Hong-bin. Design Scale System Based on Threshold Theory[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):197.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.40]
[10]宋杰,侯建军,申黎明. 按摩椅按摩头包覆层对按摩舒适性的影响[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):202.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.41]
 SONG Jie,HOU Jian-jun,SHEN Li-ming. Influence of Massager Coat Layer of Massage Chairs on the Degree of Comfort[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):202.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.41]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
 收稿日期:2019-05-15修回日期:2019-08-03
基金项目:国家林业和草原局昆明勘察设计院项目:林地‘一张图’蓄积量更新研究(2014071501)。
作者简介:吴恒,男,工程师,研究方向:林业调查和森林资源监测。E-mail:wuheng@nwsuaf.edu.cn
更新日期/Last Update: