[1]牛若恺,高润红*,侯艳青,等. 气候变化下沙冬青适宜分布区预测[J].西北林学院学报,2021,36(1):102-107.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2021.01.14]
　NIU Ruo-kai,GAO Run-hong*,HOU Yan-qing,et al. Predictionof the Geographic Distribution of Ammopiptanthus mongolicus under Climate Change[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2021,36(1):102-107.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2021.01.14]
点击复制

 气候变化下沙冬青适宜分布区预测()
分享到：

《西北林学院学报》[ISSN:1001-7461/CN:61-1202/S]

卷:
第36卷
期数:
2021年第1期
页码:
102-107
栏目:
出版日期:
2021-01-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
 Predictionof the Geographic Distribution of Ammopiptanthus mongolicus under Climate Change
文章编号:
1001-7461(2021)01-0102-06
作者:
 牛若恺; 高润红*; 侯艳青; 王旭东; 王彩鑫
 （内蒙古农业大学 林学院，内蒙古 呼和浩特 010019）
Author(s):
 NIU Ruo-kai; GAO Run-hong*; HOU Yan-qing; WANG Xu-dong; WANG Cai-xin
 (College of Forestry,Inner Mongolia Agricultural University,Hohhot 010019,Inner Mongolia,China)
关键词:
 ; MaxEnt; 沙冬青; 物种分布; 气候变化
Keywords:
 ; MaxEnt;  Ammopiptanthus mongolicus;  species distribution;  climate change
分类号:
S793.9
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2021.01.14
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
 通过135个地理分布数据，利用MaxEnt生态位模型，选择19项环境因子预测沙冬青未来的分布格局及面积。结果表明：1)模型模拟的训练集和测试集的AUC值分别为0.990和0.988，模型的预测结果可靠；2)沙冬青主要分布于内蒙古西部地区、宁夏北部、甘肃东部地区以及蒙古国南部；3)模型模拟当前沙冬青的分布面积为6.3×105 km2，模拟2050年沙冬青的分布面积为9.1×105 km2，沙冬青分布范围和种群面积将呈增加趋势；4)影响沙冬青分布的主要因子为最冷季降水量、最冷月最低气温、最热季降水量、年平均气温、最湿月降水量和年降水。研究结果不仅提供了沙冬青适生分布的划分，也为沙冬青调查与监测提供了重要的科学基础。
Abstract:
 Ammopiptanthus mongolicus is the only evergreen broad-leaved shrub in the desert areas of Asia.It is of great scientific value to predict the potential distribution area and suitable distribution area of this plant species.Based on 135 geographical distribution data,19 environmental factors were selected by MaxEnt niche model to predict the future distribution pattern and area of A.mongolicus.The results show that 1) the AUC values of training set and test set simulated by the model were 0.990 and 0.988,indicating the reliable results of MaxEnt model.2)A.mongolicus was mainly distributed in Western Inner Mongolia,Northern Ningxia,Eastern Gansu and Southern Mongolia.3) The current distribution area of A.mongolicus was 6.3×105km2,and the distribution area of A.mongolicus in 2050 would be 9.1×105km2.The distribution range and area would increase in the future.4) The main climatic factors affecting the distribution of A.mongolicus were the precipitation in the coldest season,the lowest temperature in the coldest month,the precipitation of the hottest season,the annual mean temperature,the precipitation of the most humid month,and annual precipitation.The results of this study not only provide the division of the suitable distribution of A.mongolicus,but also provide important scientific significance for the investigation and monitoring of A.mongolicus.

相似文献/References:

[1]李亚藏,梁彦兰,王庆成. 铅对山梨和山荆子光合作用和叶绿素荧光特性的影响[J].西北林学院学报,2012,27(05):21.
　LI Ya-cang,LIANG Yan-lan,WANG Qing-cheng. Influence of Pb on Photosynthesis and Chlorophyll Fluorescence Characteristics in Pyrus ussuriensis and Malus baccata [J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2012,27(1):21.
[2]张小咏,李佳,杨艳昭,等. 基于SWAT模型的长江源区径流模拟[J].西北林学院学报,2012,27(05):38.
　ZHANG Xiao-yong,LI Jia,YANG Yan-zhao,et al. Runoff Simulation of the Catchment of the Headwaters of the Yangtze River Based on SWAT Model[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2012,27(1):38.
[3]杨红旗,陈广辉,王金林. PVAc改性酚醛树脂制备铝木复合材料研究[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):170.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.34]
　YANG Hong-qi,CHEN Guang-hui,WANG Jin-lin. PF Adhesive Modified by PVAc for Manufacturing Technology of Decorative Fiberboard with Aluminum Foils[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):170.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.34]
[4]江涛,李秀荣,谢延军,等. 微波预处理对巨尾桉木材渗透性的影响[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):174.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.35]
　JIANG Tao,LI Xiu-rong,XIE Yan-jun,et al. Effects of Microwave Pretreatment on the Permeability of Eucalyptus grandis×Eucalyptus urophylla[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):174.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.35]
[5]牛晓霆,王逢瑚,曹新民. 明清家具匠师原木下料的工艺原则及措施[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):178.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.36]
　NIU Xiao-ting,WANG Feng-hu,CAO Xin-min. Techniques and Principles of Log Cuttings of Furniture Makers in Ming and Qing Dynasties[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):178.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.36]
[6]吕金阳,覃卓凯,舒辉,等. 银杉木材构造美学价值[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):183.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.37]
　LV Jin-yang,QIN Zhuo-kai,SHU Hui,et al. Esthetical Values in Wood Structure of Cathaya argyrophylla[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):183.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.37]
[7]杨艳红,张海敏,孙景荣. 基于传统文化视角的现代家具设计探析[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):188.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.38]
　YANG Yan-hong,ZHANG Hai-min,SUN Jing-rong. Study of Modern Furniture Design Based on Traditional Culture[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):188.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.38]
[8]黄圣游,叶喜. 新中式家具“中式”传统的界定[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):192.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.39]
　HUANG Sheng-You,YE Xi. Definition of Traditional Element in New Chinese Style Furniture[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):192.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.39]
[9]韩维生,赵明磊,王宏斌. 基于阈限理论的设计尺度体系[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):197.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.40]
　HAN Wei-sheng,ZHAO Ming-lei,WANG Hong-bin. Design Scale System Based on Threshold Theory[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):197.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.40]
[10]宋杰,侯建军,申黎明. 按摩椅按摩头包覆层对按摩舒适性的影响[J].西北林学院学报,2013,28(01):202.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.41]
　SONG Jie,HOU Jian-jun,SHEN Li-ming. Influence of Massager Coat Layer of Massage Chairs on the Degree of Comfort[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2013,28(1):202.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2013.01.41]
[11]辜云杰,李晓清*,杨汉波. 基于MaxEnt生态位模型预测桢楠在中国的潜在适宜栽培区[J].西北林学院学报,2021,36(2):136.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2021.02.20]
　GU Yun-jie,LI Xiao-qing*,YANG Han-bo. MaxEnt Model-based Prediction of Suitable Cultivation Area of Phoebe zhennan in China[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2021,36(1):136.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2021.02.20]
[12]武耀星,张梅,杨勇,等. 气候变化对桂花分布的影响研究[J].西北林学院学报,2022,37(4):129.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2022.04.17]
　WU Yao-xing,ZHANG Mei,YANG Yong,et al. Effects of Climate Changes on the Distribution of Osmanthus fragrans[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2022,37(1):129.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2022.04.17]
[13]张伟皓,叶利奇,陈启华,等. 基于优化MaxEnt模型的黑木相思引种栽培区划[J].西北林学院学报,2023,38(1):88.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2023.01.12]
　ZHANG Wei-hao,YE Li-qi,CHEN Qi-hua,et al. Introduction and Cultivation Zoning of Acacia melanoxylon Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2023,38(1):88.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2023.01.12]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
 收稿日期：2020-01-02修回日期：2020-07-18
基金项目：国家自然科学基金（31760120）。
作者简介：牛若恺。研究方向：荒漠植物调查。E-mail：1005199271@qq.com
*通信作者：高润红，教授，博士生导师。研究方向：生态学与生物多样性保育。E-mail：grhzwdm@163.com
更新日期/Last Update: