[1]孙存举,赵鹏祥,张振华. 基于GIS和RS的黄龙山林区土地时空动态变化分析[J].西北林学院学报,2012,27(03):174-179.
　SUN Cun-ju,ZHAO Peng-xiang,ZHANG Zhen-hua. Analysis of Land Use Dynamic Changes in Huanglong Mountainous Forest Areas Based on GIS and RS[J].JOURNAL OF NORTHWEST FORESTRY UNIVERSITY,2012,27(03):174-179.
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 基于GIS和RS的黄龙山林区土地时空动态变化分析()
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《西北林学院学报》[ISSN:1001-7461/CN:61-1202/S]

卷:
第27卷
期数:
2012年03期
页码:
174-179
栏目:
出版日期:
2012-05-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
 Analysis of Land Use Dynamic Changes in Huanglong Mountainous Forest Areas Based on GIS and RS
文章编号:
1001-7461(2012)03-0174-06
作者:
 孙存举; 赵鹏祥; 张振华
 （1.西北农林科技大学 林学院,陕西 杨陵 712100；2.四川省林业调查规划院,四川 成都 610500；3.高陵县林业科技中心，陕西 高陵710200）
Author(s):
 SUN Cun-ju;  ZHAO Peng-xiang;  ZHANG Zhen-hua
 (1.College of Forestry, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China; 2. Sichuan Forestry Inventory and Plan Institute, Chengdu, Sichuan 610500, China;3.Gaoling Forestry Science and Techndogy Center, Gaoling, Shaanxi 710200,China)
关键词:
 ; 土地利用; 转移矩阵; 动态变化; 马尔柯夫模型; 遥感; 地理信息系统
Keywords:
 ; land use;  transition probability matrix;  variation change;  Markov model;  GIS;  RS
分类号:
S718.51
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
 以黄龙山林区为研究对象，结合1990年、2000 年、2008年3期TM 图像,运用RS 和GIS 技术分析黄龙林区1990-2008年间土地利用动态的空间变化过程,并利用马尔柯夫模型对土地动态变化及演变趋势进行预测分析。结果表明：2000年以前，土地利用变化快，土地利用动态度为1.60%，并且转移较分散，而从2000年以后，土地利用动态度降为0.94%，转移方向趋于集中；1990-2008年期间,有林地面积增加最多，达427.06 km2,疏林地和未利用地面积大幅减少，耕地面积先增后减，主要土地利用转变方式为其他土地利用类型转向有林地；预测结果表明：2008年以后的16a内(2008-2024年)，研究区内耕地、疏林地、未利用地等将进一步减少且增减幅度不断降低；有林地和其他林地面积将继续增加，城乡用地和水域等也有增减但幅度不大。

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